, , , , , ; , , , .. - first , ( - ).
W () X ; t .
1:
, :
. P (Xt | Wt) = ; ( R), W X ( ); , Wt, .. .
. P (Wt | Wt-1), , (, , ); , ( , ), P, ( );
. Q? " " - , , . Q P, , , P Q .
2: - t, t, . ( ), " " , , .
, ( ). , t-1 t ( ), ( ). :
prediction: current state guess = transition_model * prev. state guess
P (Wt | Xt1..t-1) = [P (Wt | Wt-1) * P (Wt-1 | X1..t-1) dWt-1]
measurement: best estimate = data_noise_model * current state guess
P (Wt | Xt1..t) = P (Xt | Wt) P (Wt | Xt1..t-1)
/P (Xt1..t)
LHS ( t-1, - t, , ).
, : . -, , / .